Names where Consensus is moving away from Guidance

With 1H Earnings Season right around the corner, we screened for names where consensus moved away from Company guidance in the last 2 months. We screened for names where consensus EPS is down more than 10% in the last 2 months, however guidance is 10% above consensus. For example, Nintendo’s (7974) guidance is 31% above consensus. However, consensus has fallen 17% in the last two months. Other names where consensus is going down and increasing the gap between guidance are FamilyMart (8028), Toppan Printing (7911) and Idemitsu Kosan (5019). The gap between guidance and consensus for FamilyMart is huge Consensus EPS is negative ¥6.3, however guidance is still at ¥232.

On the other side, names where consensus going up and increases the gap between guidance and consensus are Mitsubishi Corp (8058), Toshiba (6502) and Toho Gas (9533). Consensus EPS for Toshiba is up 33% in the last 2 months and now guidance is 29% below consensus. For McDonalds Holding (2702) consensus EPS is ¥18 and up 15% over the last 2 months. However, company guidance is still sitting at ¥8.

Here are the results of the two screens.

EPS Consensus moving up and away from Guidance

EPS Consensus moving down and away from Guidance

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